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Kōrero: Balance of payments

Components of New Zealand’s current account balance, 1998–2008

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This chart shows the different elements that contributed to New Zealand’s current-account deficits. Until 2003 New Zealand normally ran a surplus on its international trade in goods, but had a deficit of about 6% of gross domestic product on dividend and interest payments. People overseas owned more assets in New Zealand than New Zealanders held overseas, and so more payments flowed out of the country. The result was a consistent current-account deficit. After 2003 the balance of trade in goods became negative and investment incomes even more so. Despite a surplus in services in some years, the effect was a serious worsening in the country’s deficit. Note the effect of seasonal fluctuations in dairy and meat exports and tourism on the goods and services data, and therefore on the current account.

Te whakamahi i tēnei tūemi

Te Ara - The Encyclopedia of New Zealand

Source: Statistics New Zealand

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Ngā whakaahua me ngā rauemi katoa o tēnei kōrero

Me pēnei te tohu i te whārang

C. John McDermott rāua ko Rishab Sethi, Balance of payments – Current, financial and capital accounts, Te Ara – the Encyclopedia of New Zealand, https://teara.govt.nz/mi/graph/23955/components-of-new-zealands-current-account-balance-1998-2008 (accessed 4 June 2026).

He kōrero nā C. John McDermott rāua ko Rishab Sethi, i tāngia i te 12 April 2010.

Comments

Stephen J Duncan
23 August 2015
I have a Bachelors in Political Science, 1974 (VUW) & BCA (Economics) 1987 (VUW). Your BoP trend-data do not surprise me, (never have) - but in my opinion the deteriorating position with repect to 'net merchandise exports' ('visibles') to the point of NIL net export income contribution as at 2014 latest data IS unsustainable. The more recent and fashionable argument the 'BoP does not matter' is without support in the long-run, and our NZ 'long-run' began c. 1973 ie >40 years ago). The only mitigating factor in our sovereign AA- (stable outlook) Rating (S&P) might be NZ's insignificant influence/effect in world trade (Population 4.6m, Workforce 2.3m, GDP $NZ240bn (2014). However, in being viewed 'outlook stable' (S&P) we are yet obliged to pay an effective 'Country Risk Premium' of currently 3% 'OCR' = MLR of Bank of England, to maintain a capital Account positive cash-inflow,to offset our chronic net Visible export-income deficit. There is no doubt our miniscule, isolated, dependent economy is potentially highly vulnerable in many ways (example: Greece, another peripheral dependent economy within EU) - including our 'red-hot/unreal' Auckland Region domestic & commercial housing 'Dys-market' & connected potential NZX share-market 'correction'- which could result in a 'slam-duncking' (abandonment, or 'radical sell-down') of the $NZ or even an engineered 'gaming' of our perceived fragile currency. The $NZ has little to esteem it except to a few traditional trading partners (eg Australia) as other than a currency-avenue to the returns on investments in real assets, or interest derived from holding our Government Sovereign Bonds, or high-value Bank Bills and other short-dated high-return Bank deposits. It is my understanding a large element of Current Debt (which expressed as Gross Public & Private Sector total is >$NZ300bn) - must be 're-financed' within one year. I do not think this risk to the people of NZ should be overblown - however With The emptying-out of the core of our Primary Export base (Dairy, Meat and Rae Logs) it is important to place weight on securing essential export income, as the basis for vital/essential IMPORTS: eg medicines, and key production inputs (eg fuel oil; feedstocks to production) for which sufficient foreign exchange remains vital.